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The price fluctuations of ETH have touched the hearts of countless investors, and discussions about whether its prices will bottom out again have never stopped. This article will review the price trends of Ethereum in recent years, and combine current market fundamentals and technical indicators to explore whether it is possible to pull back to the key support level of US$2,000, providing readers with a multi-dimensional market observation perspective.

1. Will Ethereum callback to $2,000? Game of long and short factors

$2,000 is not only an integer mark, but also a key support and resistance conversion level for previous multiple rounds of market conditions. The current market sentiment is complex, and the views of bulls and bears are colliding fiercely.

Potential factors supporting callbacks (negative analysis)

1. Rapid changes in market sentiment: On major mainstream trading platforms such as Ouyi OKX and Binance , by observing the short-term contract holdings and capital rates, we can find that market sentiment is prone to swing quickly in the short term, and the behavior of chasing ups and downs may amplify price fluctuations.

2. Macroeconomic uncertainty: Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate policy trends and inflation data in major economies around the world are still the sword of Damocles hanging on the market. If there is a signal that is unfavorable to risky assets, it may trigger an overall market pullback.

3. Technical adjustment demand: After a considerable round of rises, some technical indicators may indicate that the market is in an overbought area. This will increase the selling pressure on profit-taking, resulting in a technical pullback in prices in search of more solid support.

4. The ongoing impact of regulatory policies: The regulatory framework for crypto assets worldwide is still under construction, and any negative policy news that exceeds expectations may have an impact on market sentiment in the short term.

Positive factors supporting prices (positive analysis)

1. Strong network fundamentals: Cancun upgrades significantly reduce the transaction costs of Layer2 solutions within the ecosystem, greatly promoting the prosperity of the Ethereum ecosystem and the improvement of user activity. This is Ethereum's most solid long-term value support.

2. Huge expectations of spot ETFs: Following Bitcoin spot ETFs, the market's expectations of Ethereum spot ETFs being approved have become the next important narrative. Once approved, it is expected to bring massive traditional incremental funds to Ethereum.

3. Continuous deflation mechanism: Since the "merger", the EIP-1559 destruction mechanism plus the low issuance rate of PoS has made Ethereum's supply deflationary state when the network activity is high. This provides strong guarantee for the long-term scarcity and value of ETH assets.

4. Huge ecological locking value: A large amount of ETH is locked in DeFi protocols, liquidity staking and various DApps. This part of the chips has low liquidity, forming the cornerstone of the market's stability. On platforms such as Huobi HTX and Gate.io , the continued popularity of Staking products also confirms users' willingness to hold them for a long time.

2. Review of Ethereum's price trend in recent years

The price of Ethereum is not a straight line, but is full of peaks and troughs. Its trend can be mainly divided into the following key stages:

1. 2021: The pinnacle of historic bull market
Driven by the residual heat of DeFi Summer and the NFT boom, the Ethereum ecosystem ushers in explosive growth. Its powerful application scenarios and network effects have attracted a large amount of capital and users to influx, and the prices have been rising all the way, setting a record high of nearly $5,000 that year, and the market sentiment is extremely optimistic.

2. 2022: A deep pullback bear market cold winter
Earing 2022, the entire crypto market quickly turned from bull to bear due to multiple negative factors such as global macroeconomic tightening and continuous black swan events within the industry. Ethereum was not spared, and the price fell sharply from its high point. After a long and painful bottoming process, it once fell below the $1,000 mark.

3. 2023 to the present: a steady recovery driven by upgrade
As Ethereum successfully completed the "Merge" and "Shanghai Upgrade", its consensus mechanism has been smoothly transitioned and the staking function has been fully opened. Entering 2024, the implementation of the "Dencun upgrade" further reduces the transaction costs of Layer2. The iteration of these core technologies has greatly enhanced the fundamentals of Ethereum, market confidence has gradually recovered, and prices have also steadily climbed from the trough, showing strong resilience.

Editor's suggestion

It is extremely difficult to predict the short-term trend of the market. US$2,000 is not only an important psychological barrier, but also a strong technical support area. For participants, instead of obsessing with predicting an accurate point, they should focus on understanding the market structure and grasping trends.

1. Pay attention to macro signals: Pay close attention to key macroeconomic indicators such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and non-farm employment data. They are important weather vanes that affect the global risk asset prices.

2. Track on-chain data: Pay attention to the core data on-chain data such as the number of active addresses, transaction volume, Gas fees and deflation rates of the Ethereum network. These are the most direct indicators for measuring network health and intrinsic value.

3. Focus on the progress of ETFs: The approval process of Ethereum spot ETFs is undoubtedly one of the largest market catalysts in the future, and any related positive or negative news deserves great attention.

4. Do a good job in risk management: No matter where the market ultimately goes, you should formulate reasonable strategies and position management plans based on your own risk tolerance. In a volatile market, staying calm and avoiding emotional trading is more important than accurately predicting points.

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